NCAA Basketball – West Virginia/Oklahoma St. Over 142 (-110):
This looked like a high total for a Big 12 game with two teams that are both in the bottom half of the country in true shooting percentage. The key though is their poor defensive ratings, 127th for Oklahoma State and 152nd for West Virginia. That’s caused a lot of high scoring games for both teams, especially compared to this particular total.
The Mountaineers are 7-4 to the over against this game’s total on the year, and that goes to 5-1 to the over against power conference and/or ranked teams. They’re also 3-0 to the over as the visiting team. The numbers are similar for the Cowboys: 7-2 over against this total, 3-1 against power-conference opponents, and 4-0 as the home team. Given the situational splits for this game, I think that outweighs weak shooting metrics and we see another over for these teams.
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 89-41 ATS (+46.9 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining, but riskier picks.