Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 12/6 – Zone Coverage

Locks

2-Team, 7-Point Teaser; Packers -1 vs Eagles, Seahawks -3 vs. Giants (-130):

This one is worth paying the little extra juice for. The Green Bay Packers cannot afford to lose this game if they expect to hang in the race for home-field advantage in the playoffs, and the NFC East is so bad that I just want to continue to fade it. The only reason I didn’t take the spread is that the Packers are 0-1 so far this season in games with a spread larger than 8 points going in.

As for the Seattle Seahawks, I can pretty much repeat what I just said about the Packers. The Seahawks are one game up on the Los Angeles Rams right now in the NFC West and need to beat up on a bad New York Giants team to hold that lead. Colt McCoy is starting in place of the injured Daniel Jones for the Giants, making this a game that the Seahawks should win even easier than usual. The NFL has been weird this year, so I’m teasing this one all the way down to 3 for insurance, but I expect Seattle to roll at home.

Saints -2.5 @ Falcons (-110): 

The New Orleans Saints are rolling with four straight covers ATS including a win against the Atlanta Falcons. Although I’m a big fan of Drew Brees, I think this team relies on him much less than people think, so I expect the Saints to find a way to get it done. I want to note that I am breaking my new rule of not betting against Atlanta at home anymore but this New Orleans defense is that good. The Saints know how important the No. 1 seed is so I fully expect them to come out firing on all cylinders.

Lions +3 @ Bears (-110):

I’m well aware that the Detroit Lions aren’t good but hey, they just fired Matt Patricia and it’s no secret that they are happy about it. This is their chance to prove it the same way that the Houston Texans have celebrated the departure of Bill O’Brien… by winning. The Chicago Bears have struggled in a huge way to score points and although it can’t get any worse than Nick Foles was, Mitch Tribisky isn’t much better. I love Detroit’s underdog value in this one despite the injuries they are playing through, especially with Matt Stafford’s thumb having some extra time to heal.

Degenerates

Georgia Tech vs. Kentucky -6.5 (-110):

Operation fade Georgia Tech is in full effect. There’s been nothing impressive about this Yellowjackets team so far, losing to a pair of in-state Sun Belt teams. Kentucky has not lived up to expectations either necessarily, but by the end of the season, I think their losses to Richmond and Kansas will look much better if they don’t already.

The Wildcats are still by far the more talented team in this one, and this is a good spot for a bounce-back game to show everyone that they are still a force coming out of the SEC. Since this game is in Atlanta, early money treated it as a Tech home game and drove the line down a point, but I’m going to disagree with that narrative and will lay the points in what should be a double-digit win for the Wildcats.

Tiny Nick is 38-20 (+16 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining, but riskier picks.